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.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null11.null.null1.null2015.null1.null PROGRESSUS INQUISITIONES DE MUTATIONE CLIMATISVol. 11 No. 1January 2015doi10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2015.01.008.nullnonmarkingreturn ,.nullnonmarkingreturn,.nullnonmarkingreturn. .nullnonmarkingreturn “ 2 NationalCenter for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, Beijing 100038, ChinaAbstract Based on -output model and latest data from GTAP8 database Global Trade Analysis Project, thechanges of embodied carbon emissions in North group and South group countries were analyzed in 2007 relative to2004 resulted from international trade changes and corresponding influence on global carbon emissions. The resultsshow that with the expending scale of imports and exports from developing countries, the shares of global embodiedemissions in imports and exports of developing countries were both increasing. From 2004 to 2007, the exportingstructures were enhancing the developed focused on exports of high-end equipment manufacturing and service, andthe developing focused on resource products and energy intensive goods as well as low-to-medium level manufacturing.This resulted in the increase of global CO2emissions of 415 Mt, which accounted for 63 of embodied emissionsgrowth during this period. The share of embodied carbon emissions from developing countries’ exports is expectedto further increase in the future. The changes in embodied carbon emissions flows within North-South group causedby international trade changes will have an increasingly important impact on global climate change actions.Key words international trade; North group and South group; carbon emissions embodied in trade; -output;production transfer; industrial chainLiu Junling1, Wang Ke1, Zou Ji1, 2
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