资源描述：
.null.null.null.nullAdv. Clim. Change Res., 2006, 2 4 188-192.null .null .null .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullO.null.nullQ.nullOMMS.null T.nullADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCHVol.2, No.4July, 2006.nullnonmarkingreturn “1673-1719 2006 04-0188-05.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-nullnonmarkingreturn.null.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./012“34567.nullnonmarkingreturn W20.nullnonmarkingreturn70.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./01.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *, -./012345678.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “P463.3.nullnonmarkingreturn “AKey Socio-economic Factors Contributing to Urban Warming in Beijing.null.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .null2005J11J15.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “2006J01J20.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./012345.null2003DIA6N017.null.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn .null.nullnonmarkingreturn.null1972J.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullKE-mail zhengyan_.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturnNMMTPO.null.null.null20.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./100 a.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ 0.4.null0.8.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullIPCC.null.nullnonmarkingreturn.null1.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn50 a.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./01.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./012.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ 100 a.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “nonmarkingreturn nonmarkingreturn *.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ I.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./012.nullnonmarkingreturn “Adv. Clim. Change Res., 2006, 2 4 188-.null1.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,.nullNVTMJOMMP.nullnonmarkingreturn a .nullnonmarkingreturn “ nonmarkingreturn.nulllnCDD.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn.nulllnU.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “b .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nulllnT.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nulllnU.null.nullnonmarkingreturn Fig. 1 Regression analysis between urban warming and urbanization in Beijing 1970J2003 a regression curve betweenlnCDD and lnU natural logarithm urbanization rate, b regression curve between lnT and lnU3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.32.652.602.552.452.407.02.506.6bln T ln U4.37.27.06.86.66.43.9 4.0 4.1 4.2ln CDDaln U.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./0Q.null 189N.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ “*.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null *,-.null2.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn.null3.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ 1951.null2003.nullnonmarkingreturn.null “0.35.null/10a.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .null4.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,.null20.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *0.23.null/10a.null.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ 8.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullCooling Degree Days.null.nullnonmarkingreturnCDD.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn1.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “20.nullnonmarkingreturn70.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn *,-./.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn1.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null30.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./0123.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ * .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullspurious correlation.nullI.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./012.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./0123.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ “*.nullnonmarkingreturn “ O.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null5.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn 50.nullnonmarkingreturn.null6.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *nonmarkingreturn ,-./0.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “1951J2003.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullN.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturnGDP.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ GDP.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullO.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullHeating DegreeDays.null.nullnonmarkingreturnHDD.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “1.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.null “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “NVM OMMS.nullAdv. Clim. Change Res., 2006, 2 4 188-.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,.null7.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null .null5J9.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.null18.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .null“.null10J4.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .null8.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturnCDD.nullHDD.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./01.nullnonmarkingreturn30.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ * ,.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ “*.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “1.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn 1.nullnonmarkingreturn “ 1.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn P.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ADF.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullAugmentedDickey-Fuller Test.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ ADF.nullnonmarkingreturn “t.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “t.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “I 0.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-.nullI 1 .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturnADF.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./012.nullnonmarkingreturn I 1.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn 5.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturnADF.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “Q.nullnonmarkingreturn “nonmarkingreturn *,-.1969.nullGranger.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullGrangerCausality Test.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “X.nullnonmarkingreturn.null Y.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./0123.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-.“.nullnonmarkingreturn .null9.null.null.null.nullXt.null.null.nullYt.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn Y.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “X.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn Y.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn X.nullY.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullGranger Cause.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn X.nullY.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn ““.null10.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “HDD.nullCDD.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ ““*.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ “1.null.null5.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “1.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ 2.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-..nullnonmarkingreturn “3.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *4.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *5.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ GDP.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null *.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *, -./012.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn ““ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ “*.nullnonmarkingreturn “R.nullnonmarkingreturn ““ *,-.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullco-integration.null.nullnonmarkingreturn20 a.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .null*,-.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ECM.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-.null10.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturnEngle-Granger.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./01.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./0Q.null 191Adv. Clim. Change Res., 2006, 2 4 188-192.null1.nullnonmarkingreturn ““Table 1 Granger causality test results.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn 4146152031234950143428491616.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ GDP.nullnonmarkingreturn.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn /a F.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn 342333323214123.132443.7906611.24304.204343.170603.671833.068315.160395.474732.851758.736793.530585.495804.175750.038160.011100.002760.027670.042590.034710.038090.017730.029740.044780.006710.014700.035600.04852.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “0.05.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn95.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn 2.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ ECM.nullError CorrectModel.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ nonmarkingreturn*,-./.nullnonmarkingreturn “ * ,-..null.nullí.nullnonmarkingreturn c.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn1.null5.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullR2.null.nullDW.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullDurbin-Watson statistic.null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “2.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./012.null2.nullnonmarkingreturn “Table 2 Co-integration test results.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “bj.null.nullnonmarkingreturn 0.831.140.130.120.300.100.150.190.09CDD J.nullnonmarkingreturn EX1FCDD J.nullnonmarkingreturn EX2FCDD J.nullnonmarkingreturnGDPEX3FCDD J.nullnonmarkingreturn “EX4FCDD J.nullnonmarkingreturn EX5FCDD J.nullnonmarkingreturn “EX6FCDD J.nullnonmarkingreturn “EX7FCDD J.nullnonmarkingreturn “ GDP.nullnonmarkingreturnEX8FCDD J.nullnonmarkingreturn EX9F.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn DW.null3333343431213434330.520.560.530.560.480.580.550.500.521.711.891.771.751.811.611.821.551.95R2ECMt lnCDDtJ 0.83 ln X1t J 1.46ECMt lnCDDtJ 1.14 ln X2t J 2.04ECMt lnCDDtJ 0.13 ln X3t J 5.78ECMt lnCDDtJ 0.12 ln X4t J 5.95ECMt lnCDDtJ 0.30 ln
展开阅读全文