中国三氟甲烷处置政策分析及建议.pdf

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ªNÅú ï Ê[¼ 12 ¼ 3 ú2016 N 5  CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCHVol. 12 No. 3May 2016doi10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2015.190à , £Ô ¿ , Ú¸ ® .ÐT Ù˜ K›*à §t zq [J]. ªNÅú ï Ê[ , 2016, 12 3 179-184ÐT Ù˜ K›*à §t zqÃÈ£Ô ¿È Ú¸ ® þ Ù˜ K›Ä HFC-23ÅŒÀ Ùü qè6 f¦Òj 9 ˜ÅÿÄ HFCsÅ È ‡ pÒ / µÄ GWP µÅº 11700\1 HFC-23 _i|«ÿÊÄ ODSÅ ˜C p K›Ä HCFC-22Å 4ÂWò¦­Âȶ  ¦Œ©Ä¯ÒÆ Ð 5 ö  5ªÅ õ¼RT F‘Z¦•\2È 2005 NâT HFC-23 ‡c º 1.06 b t CO2eÄ CO2“ Å È_ ‡c Lw¦ HFCs Ö ÌÈï¶ HFCs ‡c¦71.42 2005 N Ùüqè4s\ÈâTï 8  11ò HFC-23 i ‡ c ²[ Æ Ä CDMÅ\ È 10ò  15I4ÂM 26.25¤ t/ N¦HCFC-22  È© N i ‡ s 6679 ¤ t CO2e\3¯À CDM\ ¦MAÈ âT HFC-23¦ ‡c 2007NDw—e i 2007 N\«ÈÜ HCFC-22 ¦ GÈ HFC-23 ‡c Dm—î7\4 2012 NÍ ã º‡Í ã º”‡UÐÈ Ù211146má ± úÖ 2015-11-10 ªî ± úÖ 2016-02-02ú\ Ö Í ã º‡‡ ËèÙ\ Ä CC2016-08-03Å ÐT c ²[ Æ   |\ Ä 201477ÅU f »Ö ÃÈ pÈþòÈ L2Ö ZWt i ‡ ƒ±âÈ¥ 2014 N §MA| 6078.20 ¤ t CO2e ¦ Ù˜ K›Ä HFC-23Å i ‡ÈFõ ˜ÅÿÄ HFCsÅ Ç i ‡ T¦ 21.7 O”ÈZWt § ì ¦Ú6ÈW Tª[FÑ §“  «Äœ T6 3 ò[ ìÈ §¦«Äœ 2020 N« HFC-23 ¦ i ‡5  zq2 pNÖ Ù˜ K› i ‡ œMHFC-23 ‡c º 0.99 b t CO2e\5 CDM \ ¦MAƒ ȺÒj 9 i ‡T  w EȺHFC-23 i ‡  Ç  0 Ý —8È õÜT hÇ HFC-23 \ ¦2 Ë\6È HFC-23 i ‡ T  ¦§üÈT  Êœ HFC-23 i ‡¦  w—0 ‡2013 N\ÈÐ Æ Tîosï  NÈje i HFCs[ ì G ¡I‡U 2014 N 5È TþøP‡¦ 2014 2015 N ¬ i ‡¯[œï[ÄÐ ý “5È G  HFCs ‡c¦6 ÙÈ G z HFCs hï È Fõ ú X Ç i ‡ 2.8b t CO2e HFCs¦6 fïºT Œ ªNÅþUƒ W  ¦C‡tÈ8 ‡c{. w i‡ 0ï„¦ HFC-23 ýïºL6‘ }6 foA¦HFCs 2015 N 5ÈT F[Àë¿ü 2ÀG¯ 8[ ˜Åÿ*ÃN2þU¦Zª ÄÀø ª [2015]1189 }È\0 fìZª Å\7ÈG¯8[ HFC-23 ¦hï*Ãj¾ ‡NŒ¦ÐèÙ Òj 9 ‡c  fÆ ¤ªNÅú ï Ê[180 2016 Nh Ž M .È¿ §Y Ýœï  2014N HFC-23 h列MzOÈy Ù §¦MA g „tD¦Ú6j5NŒ zqÈÄ §¦MA 2020 N« HFC-23 6 f ¶Ø2jm2 § f »Zª¸Èº§ü HFC-23¦*ÃþUÈ }¾ ‡NŒ¦ÐèÙ hȧüYhÂœ PÄ¥ CDM \ §ü¦ HCFC-22 \ Ž z HFC-23hïÃõT F[Àë¿2À0s ˜Åÿe iØwVT\ 2014 NÐèÙ h ĦZª È ºŽ z HFC-23hïþ ‡¦ÐèÙh¦.º 2 bîO”ÈÏ } 2019 N N¹.t N HFC-23 *ÓAœ ÊœMMMœ} âøFÈ 20142019 N i ‡ tZÀ 4.03.5 3.0 2.5 2.0  1.0 î /t CO2e M 2015 2017 N ú XÈÀw 2.0 ¦­ r فM 20182019 NÈÀw 1.5 ¦­ r فM i ‡ ¦ ƒ±HY ݓĦÒj 92ü i ‡[FÑCM-010-V01 HFC-23 m wļCòÅ  ÊœZ ª ¦a_Y ÝhÂœ¦ HCFC-22\Y ÝhÂœ¦ HCFC-22 \ Ð Á¶ ¥CDM \ §üÈ6 W i ç©ÐèÙ h§üŽ z HFC-23hïÃhïÃŒ 2015 N N¹ . zïhÂÈ 2019 N N¹ .[t“AœM ÐY Ý ¥ CDM \ §üÈ6[t 2019 N N¹ .¦œMzOÈ 20142015 N XÈ §¦U©_ äY Ý zï¦ CDM \ ÄœÈHFC-23 Êœ i ‡Èè MD¦Lw i ‡ º 6679 ¤ t CO2e 2016 N 8TÈï¶Y Ýh¦HCFC-22 \ ¦“ HFC-23 hïÃÈÂ4¦HFC-23 \ Êœ i ‡*Ã2013 NÈâT HCFC-22 ¦ º 86.3 ¤ tÈ º 56.26¤ t\8 Ú —õ Ï, ç;qè ÈâT2 HCFC-22 t f©p ÊœÄ 2013 Nó³È 2015 Ne i 10È 2020 Ne i 35Å È ¯Àñ ©pjƒtLÈC±ÊÈzOèª §MAsUIƒ J o §MA ú XÄ 2014 2019NÅ  Ï, ç;qè lÀYh HCFC-22 ¦–ZÈ ° —Àw 56.26¤ t¦ ÊœÙÀw­ r 2.85\9ÙÈ Å N ‡c¦ HFC-23º1.88b t CO2e zOÈ 20162019 N XÈè MD¦ N i ‡ º 1.88b t CO2e 9 È 20142019 N §è W\|¦ HFC-23 i ‡ Ç º 8.86 b t CO2eõÒj 92ü i ‡[FÑCM-010-V01 ¦ Ù[FÈÀwœM­ r}â ÙÈ® | i ‡\  |¦ ‡cÈè 2§²¦œM Â.  13.75 bîÈ ÃW 1 ïVW 1 §è úMAsUTable 1 Expected implementation result of the policy201420152016201720182019‡ N{è Â4¦ HFC-23i ‡ / b t CO2e0.670.671.881.881.881.888.86W\ ¥œM¦i ‡ / b t CO2e0.470.471.321.320.990.995.56œM Â. / bî1.871.643.963.301.980.9913.753MAD .ÈâTY Ýœï  2014 N i ‡ ¦ƒ±ÑœMc ¶ 8 F    2014 N HFC-23*à g „ ÐÈ 1 F îhïÃÈ } HFC-23 Êœjqèt f©p HCFCs¦ ÄÈ 1 F À 2014 NU¹4 HCFC-22 7¶  F zº CDM \ ¦Ð¹ÈU¹œ HFC-23hïà  Ž [ ì¦ñzÂQ 2014 NM Â4¦*à 2W 1èµ2¯8ZªÀ W ¥œM¦­ r¦LèÈQ W ¥M¦ i ‡¯ÀM ¦*à O”ÈZW 2014 N §MAg „ W\ BÈ   i ‡ §ü¦ g „0ȃ÷2ü Êœ HFC-23¦ i ‡ RÈ §¦MAZWŽ M¦[UȺ |Cè¦ Ý 7  äU©È   Á¶ ¥ CDM\ §ü¦ Ä W 22014 NÐT HFC-23 hï g „WTable 2 HFC-23 abatement in 2014 in China12345678‡ ¾} HFC-23 hïà ì3.201.872.893.143.173.053.04M ­ r639.65672.641235.41586.49552.83480.82585.830.00168.804922.47HFC-23 hï /t0.000.000.000.000.00261.510.0011.060.00272.57HFC-23 qè lþU5  •§ëÒj 9 ‡c  fÆ ¤ªNÅú ï Ê[184 2016 NAnalysis and Suggestions on the HFC-23 Abatement Policy in ChinaForeign Economic Cooperation Office, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing 100035, ChinaAbstract Analysis on the emission reductions verification reports indicates the policy brought about 60.78 MtCO2e HFC-23 emission reductions in 2014, covering 21.7 of the accumulated HFCs emission reductions targetduring the 12th Five-Year Plan. Suggestions on monitoring ology, policy design and follow-up monitor emission reductions; operation subsidiesLiu Kan, Zheng Wenru, Li Yijie[4][3][5][6][7]øÑÍ ã , 2014, 24 11 13-15ÐÀ § ÷  TT F[ Àë¿õ÷ . T F[Àë¿øP2ÀG¯ 8[ ˜Åÿ*ÃN2þU¦Zª Àø ª [2015]1189} [A/OL]. 2015 [2015-11-08]. http// ,  j . T ˜Åþœ[DÑ ut [J]. ¶ ˜þ , 2014 3 6-10b¦ â , ñ ,  Ý µ , ª . ÐT˜Åþœ HFC-23 i ‡ / ðt[J]. ªNÅú ï Ê[ , 2013, 9 2 139-143UNFCCC. AM0001 decomposition of fluoro HFC-23 wastestreams [EB/OL]. 2011 [2015-11-08]. http//cdm.unfccc.int/ologies/DB/GAOZAY2DWIQHK71LJS027N6N4AV6SCcÔƒ , Ë6p , Ü , ª . Ù˜ K›Ä HFC-23Å ¦øÅÅ ç©[J]. Åþ Ê[ , 2014, 33 2 483-492– JÔEIPCC. IPCC/TEAP special report on safeguarding the ozone layer andthe global climate system issues related to hydrohalocarbons andperhalocarbons [R]. Montreal UNEP, 2007ËÀ . ÐÀ § ÷  T ªNżRT F‘Z [M/OL].  Ù ÐT Ý 7ò , 2013 [2015-11-08]. http// F[ Àë¿õ÷Œ ªNÅ´ . \  N i ‡ Ài ‡ Ì™t„W [EB/OL]. 2015 [2015-11-08]. http// Ý µ , ñ“ , Û j6 . âTÆ™œeÅ ÌÒj 9 i ‡ 0 § [M].  Ù ÐTÍ ãò , 2014 184-185Fang X, Miller B R, Su S, et al. Historical emissions of HFC-23 CHF3in China and projections upon policy options by 2050 [J]. EnvironmentalScience Technology, 2014, 48 7 4056-4062ñ , b¦ â , pÑÇ , ª . Ù˜ K› i ‡ Wœ t [J]. ÐT § h[1][2][8][9][10][11]
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