全球变暖在继续.pdf

.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null8.null.null4.null2012.null7.nullPROGRESSUS INQUISITIONES DE MUTATIONE CLIMATISVo l. 8 No. 4July 2012doi10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2012.04.001.nullnonmarkingreturn , .nullnonmarkingreturn, .nullnonmarkingreturn , .null. .nullnonmarkingreturn “[J]. .nullnonmarkingreturn “, 2012, 8 4 235J242.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn NIQ.null.null.nullOIR.null.nullnonmarkingreturn R.null.nullnonmarkingreturn P.null.nullnonmarkingreturn Q.null.nullnonmarkingreturn NIR.null.nullnonmarkingreturn P.null.null2012.null1.null27.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullThe WallStreet Journal.null.nullnonmarkingreturn Allegre.null16.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn .null 2012-05-18.nullnonmarkingreturn .null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ short thick linesdecadal mean; short thin lines decadal linear trend.nullnonmarkingreturn “ short thick lines decadalmean; short thin lines decadal linear trend19001920 1940 1960 1980 2000.nullJ1.0J2.001.02.0.nullnonmarkingreturn /.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “238 45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN50.nullNa 1941.null1950.null55.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN50.nullNc 1961.null1970.null55.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN50.nullNe 1981.null1990.null55.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN50.nullNg 2001.null2010.null55.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN50.nullNb 1951.null1960.null55.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN50.nullNd 1971.null1980.null55.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN50.nullNf 1991.null2000.null55.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN50.nullNh 2000.nullnonmarkingreturn 1990.nullnonmarkingreturn55.nullN80.nullE90.nullE 100.nullE110.nullE 120.nullE 130.nullE80.nullE90.nullE 100.nullE110.nullE 120.nullE 130.nullEJ1.2 J0.8 J0.4 1.2 .null0.80.40.null4 .nullnonmarkingreturn1941.null2010.nullnonmarkingreturn10.nullnonmarkingreturn “nonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn 1971.null2000.nullnonmarkingreturn.null2000.nullnonmarkingreturn 1990.nullnonmarkingreturn “Fig. 4 Decadal mean temperature anomalies of China for a 1941J1950, b 1951J1960, c 1961J1970, d 1971J1980 ,e 1981J1990, f 1991J2000, g 2001J2010 relative to 1971J2000, and h difference between 2001J2010 and 1991J2000.nullnonmarkingreturn “ short solid lines show decadal means of 1991J2000 and 2001J201045.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN55.nullNa.nullnonmarkingreturn50.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN55.nullN50.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN55.nullN50.nullN45.nullN40.nullN35.nullN30.nullN25.nullN20.nullN55.nullN50.nullNc.nullnonmarkingreturn80.nullE90.nullE 100.nullE110.nullE 120.nullE 130.nullE80.nullE90.nullE 100.nullE110.nullE 120.nullE 130.nullEJ1.2 J0.8 J0.4 1.2 .null0.80.40d.nullnonmarkingreturnb.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn /.null3.02.01.00J1.0J2.0J2.0J4.0J6.002.04.06.0a b.nullnonmarkingreturn /.null1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000.null1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 .nullnonmarkingreturn “240 2012.nullR.nullnonmarkingreturn “ 2 National ClimateCenter, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China; 3 Laboratory for Climate and OceanJAtmosphere Studies, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing100871, China; 4 National Meteorological Ination Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081,China; 5 The Center for Earth System Science Studies, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaAbstract Based on the observed global and Chinese surface air temperature data, it is indicated that 2001J2010 isthe warmest decade since the global-scale observations are available, though temperatures do not increase significantlywithin the last decade. It does not mean that the global warming has paused at all. Meanwhile, mean temperature ofChina for the same period is also the highest. Seasonal mean temperatures of China show that winter temperatures inNortheast and Xinjiang are lower in the last decade 2001J2010 than in the previous decade 1991J2000. It mayattribute to the intensification of the Siberian high and East Asian winter monsoon. However, it will not overwhelmthe general warming trend in China.Key words global warming; climate change; recent 100 years; Siberian high.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *G.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./012,345.nullnonmarkingreturn “nonmarkingreturn *,-./.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn 2005.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “0.3.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn.null1996.null1997.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null2015.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn 0.15.nullnonmarkingreturn.null20.nullnonmarkingreturn80.nullnonmarkingreturn “2020.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *1978.null1979.nullnonmarkingreturn “.null2040.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “0.5.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn 1880.null2006.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .null1.nullnonmarkingreturn 400.null1000 t.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “nonmarkingreturn *“,-nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “J.nullnonmarkingreturn nonmarkingreturn“.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn ““ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “ nonmarkingreturn “*.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .null*,.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “1.null3.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-.null./01.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-null.nullnonmarkingreturn3623 m.nullnonmarkingreturn “42.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “4.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn 8.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn 1.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “1.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “*www.ras.ru/news/shownews.aspxid6f0db8a9-57b4-46df-873b-8d506922c6b6.null